Media Misleading Americans About Inflation

By: National Inflation Association

The National Inflation Association (NIA) believes that every time the mainstream media focuses its attention on the weak Euro, it is trying to trick the world into going long the U.S. dollar, when the U.S. dollar will win its race with the Euro to zero. Not only were eurozone countries first to implement austerity measures (something the U.S. is still showing no signs of even considering), but it was just announced this weak that the European Central Bank (ECB), which just left interest rates unchanged this month at 1%, plans to raise interest rates next month in order to combat food and energy price inflation. NIA has been warning its members for two years that the policies of the Federal Reserve and ECB would lead to massive inflation in the prices of food, energy, and clothing, and that is exactly what we are beginning to see right now.

The ECB just dramatically raised its inflation expectations for 2011. The ECB has a sole mandate of price stability, but the Federal Reserve’s mandate is not only price stability, but also maximum employment and moderate long-term interest rates. Printing money does not create jobs, except for temporary government jobs that act as a burden on the rest of the economy. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has been obsessing over the fact that the U.S. doesn’t have any wage inflation, as a reason not to raise interest rates. As NIA has long been predicting for years, wages will be last to rise during the current inflationary crisis. If wages in the U.S. were rising at the same rate as energy, food, and clothing, price inflation wouldn’t be a problem at all. The fact that wages aren’t keeping up with rising prices should actually be a good reason to raise interest rates immediately.

China is so disturbed by the inflation being created by both the Federal Reserve and ECB, that they are looking to abandon both currencies and position the yuan as the next reserve currency. The biggest news of this past week, which conveniently got swept under the rug by the U.S. mainstream media, was news out of China that they will be allowing trades to settle in yuan instead of the U.S. dollar. China is simply responding to overseas demand from those who don’t wish to hold on to large amounts of U.S. dollar reserves that are rapidly being debased by the Federal Reserve. By the end of 2011, Chinese exporters and importers will be able to settle cross border transactions in their own currency, instead of U.S. dollars. China is working to rapidly grow the yuan’s role in international trade and NIA believes it will soon become the world’s new reserve currency by default.

The fact is, if the Chinese abandoned the U.S. dollar, China would immediately have the world’s largest economy as a result of the yuan strengthening in value. Over 70% of U.S. GDP is consumer spending and when Americans can no longer import cheap goods from China using money we borrow from them, consumer spending will fall off a cliff. Canada and other resource rich nations have nothing to worry about. Just as one small example, the U.S. for many years has been the largest importer of lumber from Canada. Shockingly, the U.S. share of lumber imports from Canada has fallen just about in half percentage wise in recent years from 70% to 36%. Now, it is expected that China will displace the U.S. as the largest importer of lumber from Canada by 2012.

Besides Canada, NIA has long said that one of our favorite places to emigrate to is Australia, because Australia’s central bank was the first to raise interest rates. The Reserve Bank of Australia has interest rates at 4.75% compared to Australia’s inflation rate of 2.7%. The Reserve Bank of Australia is the only major central bank with interest rates that are positive in real terms. Despite having the highest interest rate out of all major developed countries, Australia’s GDP is still growing 2.7% on an annual basis.

The U.S. GDP is only growing due to artificially low interest rates of 0%-0.25%, where the Federal Reserve has held them for over two years. Artificially low interest rates of 0%-0.25% basically means that the U.S. economy is on life support. Any kind of economic growth during this period is phony and only due to inflation. Australia has a truly healthy economy, being that it is growing with modest interest rates. If the Federal Reserve raised interest rates to a modest level of 4.75% like Australia, there would immediately be a massive wave of debt defaults that sends the U.S. economy into a tailspin. We would experience a crash much worse than the Great Depression, which will likely be so bad that the median priced U.S. home will fall in half from $158,800 down to only $79,400.

Silver just reached a new 31-year high on Friday of $35.32 per ounce up 103% since NIA declared silver the best investment for the next decade on December 11th, 2009, at $17.40 per ounce. The short squeeze in silver that NIA first predicted on April 3rd, 2010, in its article entitled “Silver Short Squeeze Could Be Imminent”, is now taking place as we speak. NIA was one of the first to connect the dots and expose to the world why the Federal Reserve was so eager to orchestrate a bailout of Bear Stearns, but didn’t mind allowing Lehman Brothers to fail. Bear Stearns was the holder of a massive naked silver short position in silver that was being used to artificially hold silver prices down. As part of JP Morgan’s takeover of Bear Stearns, the Federal Reserve guaranteed to cover certain losses that would arise from the Bear Stearns portfolio, and this most likely included the silver short position.

Unfortunately, the average American family still has the bulk of their savings invested in Real Estate, when it should be invested in silver. In NIA’s first ever documentary ‘Hyperinflation Nation’, in which we urged viewers to get out of Real Estate and invest into silver, the median U.S. home to silver ratio was 14,700. In NIA’s second major documentary ‘The Dollar Bubble’, we once again discussed the median U.S. home to silver ratio, which was now down to 9,900, and predicted a further major decline. The median U.S. home to silver ratio is now down to 4,500. This means U.S. Real Estate has lost 69% of its value priced in silver in just the past 21 months alone. NIA is 100% sure that this ratio will decline to below 1,000 this decade and probably bottom around 500. Therefore, even if the Federal Reserve keeps interest rates near zero, we are still looking at another 78%-89% decline in the price of Real Estate in terms of silver.

NIA has been warning the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates almost since the time they lowered them down to near zero. The longer they keep interest rates where they are now, the higher interest rates will need to rise later this decade to counteract the damage being done today. It is shocking to us how the financial mainstream media still uses the bond market to determine inflation expectations. Comparing U.S. treasury yields to Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) yields does not accurately determine inflation expectations. TIPS are a scam, because they are based on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), which the government does everything in its power to manipulate as low as possible in order to keep payment increases to Social Security recipients as low as possible. The bond bubble is the largest bubble in world history and during bubbles in the financial markets, assets always get mispriced.

NIA doesn’t understand how the mainstream media allows Bernanke to get away with testifying in front of Congress this week, “the recent rise in commodity prices will lead to, at most, a temporary and relatively modest increase in U.S. consumer price inflation” and that rising gas prices “do not yet pose a significant risk either to the recovery or to the maintenance of overall stable inflation”. NIA is one of the few organizations out there challenging Bernanke’s belief that we have “overall stable inflation”. We know this to be the exact opposite of the truth.

The new Apple iPad 2 being released this month is going to be 33% thinner than the original iPad, but it will be sold at the same price as the first version. NIA forecasts that the BLS will use hedonics to say that the iPad 2 is now 33% better than the first iPad, being that it is thinner. With the price being the same as the old thicker version, the BLS will consider the new version to be 33% cheaper once quality adjustments are factored in. This type of deception will help cancel out food and energy price inflation when the BLS reports the CPI in the upcoming months.

We are sure that the millions of sheep in America who will wait for ten hours across a dozen city blocks to be the first to purchase the new iPad 2 will agree with Bernanke that inflation in the U.S. is overall very stable. However, for the overwhelming majority of Americans who see food and gas prices spiraling out of control, they have nobody to thank more than Bernanke. NIA will not rest until we educate as much of the world as possible to the fact that inflation is the root of all evil.

It is important to spread the word about NIA to as many people as possible, as quickly as possible, if you want America to survive hyperinflation. Please tell everybody you know to become members of NIA for free immediately at: http://inflation.us

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U.S. Inflation Caused Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt, and Libya Unrest

By: National Inflation Association

NIA’s food price projection report received worldwide media attention including being featured by Glenn Beck on the FOX News Network. NIA’s prediction about food inflation was strongly reiterated by NIA’s President Gerard Adams on November 12th when he was a guest on the FOX Business Network. NIA then included this prediction as one of its ‘Top 10 Predictions for 2011′ released on January 4th, 2011. We are less than two months into 2011 and already massive food inflation is beginning to affect American citizens in a major way, but not the way most people expected.

The Federal Reserve has held interest rates at near zero percent for over two years, which has flooded the world with trillions of dollars in excess liquidity. The world first saw our rapidly accelerating monetary inflation through rapidly rising gold prices. Gold is the best gauge of inflation and predictor of future inflation. It comes as no surprise to NIA members that gold prices were the first to see major gains as a result of massive inflation.

In late-2009 with gold prices soaring through the roof, the mainstream media wasn’t smart enough to figure out that inflation was the cause of rising gold prices. In fact, all of the economists that the mainstream media follows were forecasting deflation. On December 10th, 2009, with gold at $1,100 per ounce, Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics at New York University’s Stern School of Business said, “all the gold bugs who say gold is going to go to $1,500, $2,000, they’re just speaking nonsense”. Roubini went on to say ,”I don’t believe in gold” and “gold can go up for only two reasons.” Roubini pointed to inflation as being one of those reasons, but said, “we are in a world where there are massive amounts of deflation because of a glut of capacity, and demand is weak, and there’s slack in the labor markets with unemployment above 10 percent in all the advanced economies.”

NIA recognized from the very beginning that despite adverse signs from the bond market, gold and U.S. stock prices were rising solely due to inflation, and there was no economic recovery. In fact, in an article released on December 28th, 2009, NIA wrote, “In 2009, we saw the monetary inflation created by the Federal Reserve’s zero percent interest rates drive up the prices of U.S. stocks, without dramatically increasing the prices of U.S. consumer goods. We consider 2009 to have been a brief period of euphoria, before a rapid increase in the prices of food, energy, clothes and other necessities Americans need to live and survive.”

NIA first warned about food inflation in our October 30th, 2009, article entitled, ‘U.S. Inflation to Appear Next in Food and Agriculture’. In this article, NIA said, “Prices are rising all around us, yet agricultural commodities have for the most part been left behind and remain at historically depressed levels. Fundamentals for agriculture are improving on a daily basis. A worldwide shortage of farmers combined with food inventories falling to record lows is setting up the perfect storm for an explosion in agriculture prices.” From the release of this article on October 30th, 2009, to their highs this month, we have seen an explosion in agriculture futures with wheat gaining 52%, cotton gaining 177%, corn gaining 72%, soybeans gaining 49%, coffee gaining 86%, orange juice gaining 37%, and sugar gaining 86%.

Luckily for the U.S., because of the dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency, the U.S. has been able to export its food inflation to the rest of the world. America’s food inflation crisis is so far manifesting itself in Arab nations. It started out early last month with citizens in Algeria marching to the capital chanting, “Bring us Sugar!” It then spread to riots in Tunisia, which saw 14 civilian deaths when protesters clashed with police. Afterwards came the Egyptian Revolution, which saw 365 civilian deaths and thousands more injured, leading up to the resignation of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak on February 11th. In recent days, the civil revolt has reached Libya, the third largest oil producer in Africa and holder of Africa’s largest oil reserves.

Although the U.S. is largely self-sufficient when it comes to the production of food, oil is a very important commodity used in agriculture production and the U.S. needs to import most of its oil. With oil prices soaring through the roof, Arab nations are getting their revenge on the U.S. for the food inflation they are suffering from. Oil is the second largest expense that affects retail prices of food in our supermarkets after the cost of agricultural commodities. The reason a 50% increase or more in nearly all agricultural commodities hasn’t caused food prices in U.S. supermarkets to rise by 50% or more in recent months, is because Americans have been blessed with cheap oil. The surging price of oil means that America’s food inflation crisis is now imminent.

All American citizens need to be ready for nationwide civil unrest, rioting, looting, and protesting later this year, even worse than what is occurring in Arab nations. The Arab world will survive this crisis because they have oil reserves that they can export to Asian countries when the U.S. can no longer afford to import oil. However, America’s survival is dependent on the world’s confidence in a piece of paper that has no intrinsic value and is being debased as fast as humanly possible.

The Federal Reserve is 100% responsible for the world’s political turmoil and upheaval of governments. As NIA continues to educate the world about the Federal Reserve’s destructive monetary policies, we are witnessing surging anger over the Federal Reserve’s ability and willingness to steal from the incomes and savings of the American middle class by printing money and transferring this wealth through cheap and easy credit to bankers on Wall Street who produce nothing tangible for the U.S. economy. At the very least, NIA believes this anger will lead to large “End the Fed” protests later this year, which NIA first predicted would occur last year (we overestimated America’s eagerness to learn the truth about the U.S. economy and inflation). Worst case scenario, by the end of 2011, we will see the world rush to dump their U.S. dollars and an outbreak of hyperinflation.

Our good friend Gerald Celente first forecast the current North African crisis in an article he wrote in his autumn ‘Trends Journal’ entitled ‘Off With Their Heads 2.0′. In fact, Celente wrote another article just days before the riots in Tunisia entitled ‘Youth of the World Unite’, which accurately predicted with precise details the deadly riots we now are seeing in Arab nations. Celente will be a guest in NIA’s upcoming must see documentary about the U.S. college bubble that is getting ready to collapse.

As accurate as Celente was about the North African crisis, we believe even he was surprised by just how fast the upheaval took place. Absolutely nobody in the mainstream media saw this crisis coming at any time during the recent weeks and months leading up to it. It is shocking just how quickly Egypt went from having peaceful times to their President being forced to resign from office. There were absolutely no warning signs in the weeks leading up to the Egypt unrest. NIA expects U.S. hyperinflation to break out in exactly the same fashion. The only warning signs to prepare for hyperinflation will be the warning signs that are already here today. Americans need to learn how to recognize them for what they truly are, and that is why NIA is here. Please trust us that by the time it becomes obvious to the average American that hyperinflation is right around the corner, there will be no time to prepare.

It is important to spread the word about NIA to as many people as possible, as quickly as possible, if you want America to survive hyperinflation. Please tell everybody you know to become members of NIA for free immediately at: http://inflation.us

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Outside Organizations — Many Relying on Anonymous Donors — Help Republicans Score Big Gains in Congress

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact: Dave Levinthal, 202-354-0111

WASHINGTON — The priciest midterm election in U.S. history saw a Republican tide sweep numerous Democrats out of office, as voters anxious about the state of the economy ousted more House incumbents from office than any time since 1948. While several money-in-politics axioms held true, money was not a panacea for embattled politicians.

In only about 85 percent of House races did the candidate who spent the most experience victory on Election Day, a relative low in recent years, according to a preliminary analysis by the Center for Responsive Politics. Candidates’ spending correlated to success in 29 out of 35 Senate races — or 83 percent — that had been called as of Thursday morning.

By comparison, in 2008, the biggest spender was victorious in 93 percent of House races and n 86 percent of Senate races. In 2006, top spenders won 94 percent of House races and 73 percent of Senate races. And in 2004, 98 percent of House seats went to candidates who spent the most, as did 88 percent of Senate seats.

Moreover, most self-financing candidates again faltered this cycle. And significant investments from outside groups helped elect more than 200 federal candidates. In two-thirds of races where outside groups spent at least some money on advertisements and other political communications, the dollars spent supporting the winner, coupled with amounts spent opposing the loser, exceeded dollars spent supporting the loser or attacking the winner, according to the Center’s research.

“Those that went to the polls Tuesday showed enormous dissatisfaction with the status quo and voted, once again, for change,” said Sheila Krumholz, the Center’s executive director. “The money changed too, surging as much as 40 percent over 2006 levels to our predicted $4 billion by cycle’s end. Despite the competitive political climate and the lowest House reelection rate in 60 years, however, the vast majority of incumbents and candidates who spent the most were still reelected.”

Read OpenSecrets.org’s comprehensive post-election report by clicking here.

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ABOUT THE CENTER FOR RESPONSIVE POLITICS

The Center for Responsive Politics is the nation’s premier research group tracking money in federal politics and its effect on elections and public policy. The nonpartisan, nonprofit Center aims to create a more educated voter, an involved citizenry and a more responsive government. CRP’s award-winning website, OpenSecrets.org, is the most comprehensive resource for federal campaign contributions, lobbying data and analysis available anywhere. CRP relies on support from a combination of foundation grants, individual contributions and income earned from custom research and licensing data for commercial use. The Center accepts no contributions from businesses, labor unions or trade associations.

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